MCRA: Monte Carlo Risk Assessment

Probabilistic modelling of chemical intake from food


MCRA quantifies dietary exposure to chemicals as a distribution
by combining data on food consumption with data on concentrations of chemicals in foods.

Analyze your own or shared data on consumption and chemical concentrations.

Main features of MCRA are:
  • Data selection from e-platform of MS Access databases, or from a simple MS Excel table
  • Conversion of food-as-eaten to food-as-measured, model for brand loyalty
  • Quantification of short-term exposure (personday intake) for acute risk assessment
  • Quantification of long-term exposure (usual intake) for chronic risk assessment
  • Relative contributions of foods to the total exposure/intake
  • Modelling of exposure/intake as a function of covariates, e.g. age and gender
  • Modelling of concentrations, including models for nondetects and unit variability
  • Modelling of food processing effects
  • Uncertainty analysis
  • For acute risks comparison with external point estimates
This website hosts MCRA version 7.1, which can be used for single-compound dietary assessments. Cumulative and aggregate assessments can be performed with MCRA 8 hosted at RIVM. Also see the EU project web site Acropolis

If you are interested in using MCRA 7.1 please fill in the registration form or contact Jacob van Klaveren , RIVM

MCRA is a program for Monte Carlo Risk Assessment, developed for RIVM by WUR/Biometris to facilitate RIVM's tasks for the national food safety authority ( VWA ) and for cooperation in international projects ( EFSA , EC Research ). MCRA started in the context of the Dutch Programme for the Quality of Agricultural Products ( KAP ).

Publications and reports using MCRA